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Numéro 143 - Janvier 2019

Perspectives économiques 2019

Gautier Attanasi, Vincent Bodart, François Courtoy, Sébastien Fontenay, Alexandre Ounnas, Mathieu Sauvenier

RE143Après avoir été soutenue en 2017, la croissance de l’économie belge est redevenue plus modeste en 2018. L’expansion de l’économie belge resterait modérée en 2019. Alors que la demande intérieure devrait être soutenue par l’amélioration de la situation du marché du travail et du pouvoir d’achat des ménages, de même que par un certain optimisme des entreprises, la contribution de la demande étrangère serait en revanche réduite en raison d’un ralentissement de la croissance de l’économie mondiale et du commerce international. De 1,5 % en 2018, la croissance du PIB belge diminuerait à
1,3 % en 2019.

En résumé , nos prévisions macroéconomiques pour 2019 sont les suivantes:

  • L’économie belge devrait croître de 1,3 % en 2019.
  • L’emploi augmenterait, en termes nets, de 37.900 unités en 2019.
  • Le nombre de demandeurs d’emploi diminuerait de 15.200 unités en 2019.
  • L’inflation générale des prix à la consommation s’élèverait à 1,8 % en 2019.
  • Le déficit budgétaire des administrations publiques serait de 1,6 % du PIB en 2019.

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